Recent Articles in Emerging Markets

Short-term, the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000 pulled back to zones where we should see prices starting to hold and turn up from. The intermediate to long-term trends remain positive and we maintain our bullish view. We also remain bullish the Midcaps and would look to buy near-term weakness in the MDY.

For the purpose of generating long ideas in the financial sector outside of the U.S., we screened and ranked the 192 stocks in the iShares Global Financial ETF (IXG). In this list we find 67% of the stocks making a 1-month relative high vs. the IXG with 55% in a confirmed absolute uptrend and another 25% on the verge of confirming an uptrend. We are measuring an uptrend using a long-term smoothing, the 40-week moving average. When we look at these stocks relative to the IXG, we find 37% in a relative uptrend. For investors needing to have exposure in this sector, we offer a number of stocks with very favorable absolute and relative trends in place.

Not much has changed in a week. Upside momentum remains firm and we have a number of indices above their 40-week average. Although most of the U.S. indices reviewed are overbought short term, it’s a “good overbought” where any weakness is short lived and met with more demand.

Not much has changed in a week. Momentum continues to build, and we have the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Mid Cap (MDY) and Dow Transports making their way above their 40-wk. averages.

Upside momentum remains very firm for a number of U.S. indices and we want to stay the course on our intermediate to long-term call which is bullish.

Today we present the equity portion of our Technical Tuesday report sent out last week. We waited for week ending data and put together a number of charts of various global equity markets, and in some cases, on multiple timeframes.

A number of the U.S. indices we reviewed are overbought and into a confluence of resistance on a short-term basis. As we noted in last week’s report, “we believe the market is vulnerable to a pullback starting within the next day or two,” the high actually came in on day three.

On a short-term basis, we have a trading sells on the S&P 500, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000 and the Midcap 400 (MDY). All of these indices are into a confluence of resistance and overbought. Our intermediate to long-term view remains bullish as we had extreme readings on a number of market internals into the December low.

Volatility brings opportunity, and we sure have seen a lot of that in recent weeks. As we reviewed the a number of market indices and internals, we feel that for most markets, we have seen an internal low and now wait for the external low to take shape.

We like today's market internals and are upgrading the following indices to buy: The Russell 2000, Mid-Cap Index (MDY), and S&P 500. We are currently long the Dow Transports, DAX and CAC indices.

WTI Crude Oil is approaching a range of support between $42—$45. Gold is close to our initial target of 1285 with improving momentum.